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亞博網頁登陸 | 2010-09-14

接本篇文章上文:2010 年下半年中國閥門價格態勢分析(上)

san、xinzengchengbenyinsuxianxian

進入下半年后,中國閥門企業將面臨更高的生產成本。更高成本因素將從三個方面顯現:一是前期進口和儲備的相對低價鐵礦石基本耗盡,開始面對更高價格的鐵礦石,閥門企業將進入真正高生產成本時期。二是鐵礦石季度定價表明鐵礦石協議價格將向現貨價格接軌。由于目前現貨價格顯著高出協議價格,這也就意味著下半年閥門企業消耗的鐵礦石價格還會上漲,而且漲幅不會太小。三是除了協議鐵礦石價格繼續上漲外,關系中國閥門成本的焦炭價格也會大幅揚升。由于預計受到全球經濟復蘇和中國經濟提速大環境的影響,西南干旱導致火力發電增加,年內煤炭產品價格將高位運行,并且不排除進一步上漲的可能。近期有關部門再次發出下半年煤炭供應可能再次趨緊的警報。

lingjuyouguanziliao,shanxi、hebei、shandongdengguoneijiaotanshengchandashengjinqixiangjizhaokaijiaohuaxingyeshichangfenxihui,zaijiaomeijiageshangzhangdaozhichengbenhejiaotanchanpinjiagedaoguadexingshixia,wudajiaotanchanqudachengxianchanbaojiademoqi。5 yuefentijiahou,zhuyaochandijiaotanjiagejunjiangtupo 2000 yuan/dun。shouqiyingxiang,xiabannianjiaotanshichanghuojinjiayang,shibichengweifamenqiyexindechengbenzengjiayinsu。ciwai,ruguoxiabannianguojiadiaogaodianliheshuijiage,kaizhenghuanjingshuideng,yehuijinyibuzengjiashengchanchengben。

genggaodeshengchanchengben,chanshengleduiyufamenjiagedexindezhichengliliang。congmuqianluowengangdengreyachanpinjiageqingkuanglaikan,yijingbunengfugaijinhougaojiacailiaodexinchengbenyinsu,yaoqiushichangjiagebixujinxingdiaozheng。

si、channengshifangshoudaoyizhi

zaiguoneiwaixuqiujixuwangshengzengchangdetongshi,zhongguofamenchannengdeshifangquehuishoudaosangefangmiandeyizhi。

shouxianshiyitouchannenglideyizhi。congcugangfangmianlaikan,jinnianqian 4 geyuequanguocugangchanliang 21387 wandun,tongbizengchang 25.4%,annianjisuanyuewei 6.4 yidun,anzhaoxianjieduan 7 yiduncugangchannengjisuan,channengliyonglvyijingdadao 91.4%,shuyuguojigongrendegongyingpianjinshuiping。yujijishijinhouzhongguocugangchanliangjixuzengchang,danyebuhuibijinnian 4 yuefen 5540 wandundeyuechanshuipinggaochuduoshao。yinggaishuo,yijingtouchandecugangnenglijibenshifangle,suirantongbizengfuhuanhuijiaogao,danxiabannianhuanbizengchangqianlibuda。

qicishitiekuangshigongyingdexianzhi。tiekuangshigongyingpianjin,jiangchengweiyingxiangzhongguofamenchannengshifangdezuidazhiyueyinsu。2009 nian,chuzhongguowai,shijiezhuyaochangangguojiadoujianshaolefamenchanliang,yinciyou 1 yiduodundefuyutiekuangshichukoudaozhongguo,beizhongguofamenqiyesuoxiaohua。zheyijumianzaijinnianjiangbufucunzai。youyushijiejingjifusucijiouzhou、beimeihedongyafamenqiyezengchan,2010 nianquanqiutiekuangshiyoukenengchuxiangongyingquekou。youyu 2009 nianzhongguobufenfamenqiyecunzaichangxiekuanghuiyueqingkuang,yincijinniankenengmianlintiekuangshi“pingjing”dekunrao。tiekuangshigongyingdequjin,wuyihuizhiyuezhongguocugangchannengdeshifang。

zaicishidianligongyingdexianzhi。meitandengnengyuangongyingpianjin,jiangyingxiangdianligongying。xiabannianquanguobufendiquyoukenengxiandian,famenqiye,youqishizhongxiaofamenqiye,zuoweigediqunengyuanxiaohaodahu,jiangshoudangqichong。dianligongyingbuzu,yehuixianzhibufenfamenchannengdeshifang。

taotailuohoudexianzhi。jinqiyouxiaoxishuo,guojiayaoyong“tiewan”taotailuohouchanneng,baokuosanbuweiquxiaoduidianjielv、famendenggaohaonengqiyeyongdianjiageyouhui,bingduitaotaihexianzhichannengshishijiajia。suoyouzhexiecuoshi,duiyuluohoufamenchannengdexianzhi,duoshaoyinggaiyouxiexiaoguoba?zaixuqiujixuwangshengdeqingkuangxia,famenluohouchannengshoudaoyizhi,youliyugaishanshichangguanxi。

wu、shichangjiagechudihuisheng

4、5 yuefenyilai,guoneifamenjiagechuxianjieduanxinghuidiao,zhuyaoshiduiyuguojiazhongquanyizhifangjiaguokuaishangzhang、ouyuanquzhaiwuweijidekonghuang,yijiqianqifamenxingqingchixuyangsheng,jujiledaliang“fudongyingli”,maoyishanghetouzizhe“luodaiweian”dexinliheshijicaozuosuozhi,xuqiuwangshenghechengbenzengjiazhichengdejibenmianbingmeiyougaibian。yinci,diaozhengguohou,quanguofamenjiagejiangchudihuisheng,jixugaoweiyunxing。yujijinqineishanghailuowengangqihuozhuliheyuejiagejiejin 4000 yuan/dundidianhou,jianghuifandanzhi 5000 yuan/dunzuoyou,youjiejin 1000 diandeyinglikongjian。

liu、famenqiyeyinglidafuzengjia

famenjiagedechudifandan,shenzhijinyibushangzhang,yijichanliangdezengduo,shibitigaofamenqiyedeshixianlirunshuiping。genjuguojiatongjijufabushujuxianshi,1 jidu,zai 39 gegongyedaleixingyezhong,38 gexingyeliruntongbizengchang。qizhong,famenxingyeliruntongbizengchang 338 bei,zengfuzuiweimingxian。yejiepubiandanxindeyouyutiekuangshijiagefanbeidaozhifamenxingyedamianjikuisunqingkuangmeiyouchuxian。

suiran 1 jidufamenqiyeliruntongbizengfuhengaoyuqunianjishupiandiyouhendaguanxi,danshixianlirunhuanshidadachaochuyuqi。yujideyiyujiagededafutisheng,shangbannianhequannianzhongguofamenqiyeshixianlirunhuichuxianjiaodafuduzengchang。

yujixiabannianfamenqiyezhengtilirunshuipingmingxiangaochuquniantongqishuiping,tiekuangshizhangjiadengchengbenzengjia,buhuiyinfafamenqiyededamianjikuisun。

(quanwenwan)


本文地址:http://zapped-it.net/news/industry/20100914802.html


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上一篇:2010 年下半年中國閥門價格態勢分析(上)


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